Israel’s Geopolitical Landscape Ceasefire Between Israel and Hamas

Introduction

Israel opinion

The ceasefire between Israel and Hamas, which took effect in January 2025, ended this evening. During the ceasefire period, Hamas attempted to restore order in the Gaza Strip, curb looting, and reinstate essential services. However, Hamas’ tight grip on the Strip and the dire economic situation complicate the prospects for long-term stability.

The end of the ceasefire presents both Israel and Hamas with the possibility of renewed escalation, as no broader agreements were reached.

Israel-Palestinian Authority Relations

Relations between Israel and the Palestinian Authority (PA) remain tense, with no significant political progress.

The PA was excluded from the latest ceasefire agreement, leading its leadership to accuse Israel and international mediators of strengthening Hamas while weakening the PA.

Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas faces severe internal criticism as the lack of progress in the political process further erodes public trust in his leadership.

U.S. Involvement – Trump Administration

As of March 2025, Donald Trump’s second administration continues to influence the geopolitical situation in the Middle East, particularly concerning Israel and the Palestinians.

In January 2025, President Trump lifted sanctions on Israeli settlers accused of attacks against Palestinian villages, a move perceived as support for Israel’s right-wing government.

Furthermore, Trump played a key role in brokering the ceasefire between Israel and Hamas, applying diplomatic pressure on Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu to accelerate the process.

The agreement aimed to halt hostilities in Gaza for six weeks and secure the release of 33 Israeli hostages.

Additionally, Netanyahu confirmed that Israel is working with the U.S. to implement Trump’s controversial plan for Gaza, which includes American administration over the Strip and the relocation of over two million Palestinians.

This plan has been met with international condemnation, as it is widely perceived as ethnic cleansing.

Trump’s appointment of pro-Israel officials, such as Mike Huckabee, as the U.S. ambassador to Israel has encouraged elements within Israel’s right-wing government to advance the annexation of parts of the West Bank. This move raises concerns among Israel’s Arab allies.

Overall, the Trump administration continues to support Israel, but its controversial policies could impact regional stability and the peace process.

Qatar’s Role

Qatar remains a key mediator between Israel and Hamas. The ceasefire signed in Doha in January 2025 highlighted Qatar’s influence in the process, as it provided financial aid for Gaza’s reconstruction and secured Hamas’ commitment to restrain violence.

However, Qatar’s continued support for Islamist groups, including its financial backing of Hamas, remains a contentious issue in the international arena.

The United Arab Emirates Position

Since signing the Abraham Accords, the UAE has maintained diplomatic and economic ties with Israel. However, recent developments have forced the UAE to balance its relationship with Israel against growing criticism from Arab actors regarding Israeli policies toward the Palestinians.

While the UAE continues to promote joint economic projects with Israel, it has also expressed concern over Israeli plans to annex parts of the West Bank and the renewed clashes with Hamas.

Conclusion and Future Outlook

As of March 2025, Israel’s geopolitical landscape regarding the Palestinian Authority, Hamas, the U.S., Qatar, and the UAE reflects a complex reality of conflicting interests, evolving alliances, and regional and international power struggles.

While Israel strengthens its ties with its allies, its relations with the Palestinians remain strained, with the PA and Hamas divided over the future of Gaza and the West Bank.

The ceasefire that ended this evening underscores the fragility of any agreement between Israel and Hamas, as, without a broader and deeper resolution, another round of violence appears almost inevitable.

On the other hand, the involvement of regional players like Qatar and the UAE demonstrates that external actors play a significant role in brokering compromises and preventing escalation.

Looking Ahead

Potential for renewed escalation

Without a mutually agreed political and economic solution, the likelihood of another military confrontation between Israel and Hamas remains high.

Shifts in U.S. policy

Trump’s administration continues to bolster Israel, but decisions such as lifting sanctions on settlers and supporting the controversial Gaza plan could lead to Israel’s diplomatic isolation among Western nations.

Regional relations

Qatar and the UAE may increase their influence over Israeli Palestinian affairs, but they, too, will have to navigate global interests and internal pressures.

Implications for the Palestinian Authority

The ongoing crisis between the PA and Hamas, alongside U.S. support for Israeli policies, will make it increasingly difficult for Abbas to maintain his legitimacy among the Palestinian public.

Conclusion

Ultimately, the Middle East remains a dynamic arena where today’s decisions shape tomorrow’s conflicts and agreements. Israel will have to choose between an aggressive approach that may heighten international opposition or a more strategic path that blends diplomatic strength with long-term humanitarian measures.