Iraq concerns due to Syria Islamist leaders - Delay withdraw of US troops.
Introduction
The dynamic of U.S. troop presence in Iraq is influenced by numerous geopolitical factors, including the political landscape in neighboring countries like Syria. Recent developments in Syria, where Islamist groups have gained significant control, have potentially altered the strategic considerations regarding U.S. military withdrawal from Iraq. Iraq has 2500 US soldiers. In Syria there are 2500 American troops
Current situation
According to current discussions and analyses, the rise of Islamist rulers in parts of Syria may have a complex impact on Iraq's stance toward U.S. forces.
On one hand, the increased instability and the potential for spillover effects from Syria could make Iraq more reliant on U.S. military support to counter threats like ISIS or to prevent the influence of Islamist groups from growing within its own borders.
This scenario might reduce Iraq's eagerness for a U.S. troop withdrawal as they could see American military presence as a stabilizing factor against regional Islamist expansion.
However, there's also an argument that the presence of Islamist groups in Syria could increase domestic and regional pressures for the U.S. to leave, as these forces often oppose U.S. military activities in the region. Iran, which supports some of these Islamist factions, would likely prefer a reduced U.S. military footprint in Iraq, potentially influencing Iraqi political decision
The situation in Syria is very precarious given future of Syrians and minorities groups. Turkey is doing everything possible to take control of Syria using HTS, Uzbek and Uigurs fighters. They are trying to weaken SDF which have 10,000 ISIS fighters in detention centers. Plus there are over 5000 groups of ISIS spread all over Libya.
The rise of ISIS is imminent. Therefore war is not yet began. It’s just ME politics.
Baghdad and US
Discussion between Washington and Baghdad about troop presence continue, the situation in Syria plays a role in these negotiations. The U.S. has maintained a military presence in Iraq to help with counter-terrorism efforts, particularly against ISIS, and to support Iraqi forces, but the evolving political landscape in Syria adds another layer to these discussions. The Iraqi government's position might be tempered by the need to balance internal political pressures with the strategic benefits of U.S. support in a volatile
Conclusion
In summary, while the new Islamist rulers in Syria might reduce Iraq's appetite for an immediate U.S. troop withdrawal due to security concerns, the situation is nuanced with multiple political and strategic considerations at play.
