Jan 18

Jan 18 NATO final attempt to woo Trump? Will it work?

Introduction

As NATO faces significant challenges in 2025, a new deal is being proposed to strengthen the alliance and address key concerns, particularly from the United States. This “Atlantic Charter 2025” aims to rebalance defense responsibilities and capabilities among NATO members.

Key Elements of the New NATO Deal

Increased European Defense Spending

European allies are being urged to significantly increase defense spending, potentially to 3% of GDP or higher.

This increase is meant to meet President-elect Trump’s expectations and reduce dependence on U.S. military resources.

Enhanced European Capabilities

The deal calls for European allies to provide at least half of NATO’s defense capabilities in Europe by 2030, increasing to two-thirds by 2035.

Specific proposals include creating two European shield corps and four reserve European war-fighting corps.

Accelerated Implementation

NATO aims to agree on new targets for weapons and troop numbers by the summer of 2025, ahead of the original autumn timeline.

Germany, Poland, Britain, France, and Italy have committed to swiftly implementing these new targets.

Continued U.S. Commitment

In exchange for increased European efforts, the U.S. would maintain its current troop levels in Europe.

This arrangement would allow U.S. reserve forces to potentially shift focus to other regions, such as Asia.

Financing the New Deal

To support this ambitious increase in defense capabilities, the proposal includes the creation of a Defense, Security and Resilience (DSR) Bank. This bank would:

Provide demand-side financing for nations through collective debt issuance.

Offer loan programs to enable countries to purchase armaments and modernize defense systems without significantly increasing direct public debt.

Challenges and Implications

Political Considerations

The proposal comes as NATO prepares for a potential second Trump presidency, with Trump calling for European allies to spend up to 5% of GDP on defense.

There are concerns about maintaining public support for increased defense spending in European countries.

Strategic Focusing

The deal aims to address threats from Russia, the growing challenge from China, and the need to redistribute defense burdens globally.

Implementation Timelines

The upcoming NATO Summit in The Hague in June 2025 is seen as a critical moment for implementing these ideas and securing commitments from alliance members.

Conclusion

Actually it is not up to to dictate terms with Trump as they are not in the position and Biden has gone. Trump is unpredictable and likes to take credit for everything. We might haggle the issues for months ; asks for some tweaks here and there and finally agree that he agreed with Trump deal to MAGA.

Even though new NATO deal represents a significant shift in transatlantic defense cooperation, aiming to create a more balanced and capable alliance in the face of evolving global security challenges.

But Trump is Trumpter.

Antonio V Bhardwaj

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