Introduction

No one has a crystal ball but based on pattern we can come to some conclusion.

Based on recent events and statements, Netanyahu’s thinking appears to be focused on several key areas:

Political Survival and Power Consolidation

Netanyahu is working to strengthen his political position amidst ongoing challenges:

Appointing loyalists to key positions in foreign and defense ministries

Dismissing political adversaries, such as Defense Minister Yoav Gallant

Delaying decisions on potentially damaging issues, like a national inquiry into the October 7 events

Legal Challenges and Corruption Trial

Netanyahu is actively maneuvering to address his legal troubles:

Requesting delays in his corruption trial, citing difficulties in preparation

Framing legal challenges as persecution by liberal forces, both domestically and internationally

Potentially considering the dismissal of Attorney General Gali Baharav Miara, who poses a significant threat to his legal standing

War Strategy and International Relations

Netanyahu is leveraging the ongoing conflict for political gain:

Capitalizing on military successes against Hamas and Hezbollah

Rejecting international criticism, including the ICC arrest warrant, as “antisemitic”

Maintaining a hardline stance against a Palestinian state

Increasing communication with Donald Trump, anticipating potential support from a future Trump administration

Domestic Control and Surveillance

There are allegations of Netanyahu attempting to exert control through controversial means:

Reportedly asking the former Shin Bet chief to eavesdrop on ministers and senior officers

Allegedly working to shape public narrative regarding the October 7 attack, placing blame on the military

Balancing War Leadership and Legal Obligations

Netanyahu is attempting to maintain his leadership role while facing legal scrutiny

Insisting on his ability to lead during wartime despite his upcoming testimony in the corruption trial

Vowing to continue military operations against perceived threats, such as Hezbollah violations of the ceasefire

Conclusion

Netanyahu’s thinking appears to be primarily focused on maintaining his grip on power, deflecting legal challenges, and using the current conflict to bolster his position, all while attempting to shape public perception in his favor.