Foreign Affairs Forum

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Is Hamas a threat to Jordan monarchy?

Introduction

Hamas appears to pose a potential threat to Jordan’s monarchy, though the situation is complex. The King of Jordan, King Abdullah II bin Al-Hussein, concern his kingdom is short lived due to Hamas, Iran and Israel.

Security Concerns

Jordanian authorities have accused Hamas of inciting protests and attempting to destabilize the country.

In May 2024, Jordan claimed to have foiled a plot by Hamas-sympathizing members of Jordan’s Muslim Brotherhood to smuggle Iranian arms from Syria.

The government fears that Hamas leaders may incite Jordanian tribes to join conflicts against Israel.

Political Influence

Hamas’s popularity in Jordan has surged, with 85% of Jordanians expressing a “positive” view of Hamas in late 2023, up from 44% in 2020.

There are concerns that Hamas’s increased popularity could embolden its supporters, particularly those of Palestinian origin.

Some opposition voices are calling for a reconsideration of Jordan’s relationship with Hamas, potentially challenging the monarchy’s stance.

Historical Context

Jordan has had a contentious relationship with Hamas, banning the movement from the kingdom in 1999.

King Abdullah II has taken a harder stance against the Muslim Brotherhood and Hamas compared to his father, viewing them as obstacles to his vision of modernity.

Domestic Politics

The Islamic Action Front, linked to the Muslim Brotherhood, has gained political strength and plans to contest the 2024 parliamentary elections.

Increased support for Islamist parties could challenge the monarchy’s control over the political landscape.

Conclusion

While Hamas is not directly threatening to overthrow the Jordanian monarchy, its growing influence and the potential for destabilization present significant challenges to Jordan’s national security and the monarchy’s authority.