François Bayrou’s success in passing the 2025 budget faces significant challenges due to a divided National Assembly.

The assembly is currently paralyzed by a three-bloc deadlock, making it difficult for any single party, including Bayrou’s centrist coalition, to secure a majority. While Bayrou is respected across the political spectrum and has experience in coalition-building, potential opposition from both leftist and far-right factions poses risks.

His ability to negotiate and form alliances will be crucial, but optimism regarding his prospects remains cautious given the ongoing political turmoil.