What benefit HTS gained with the revolution if after their victory they are passing regime to Mohammad Al-Bashir?
Introduction
HTS (Hayat Tahrir al-Sham) has gained significant benefits from the Syrian revolution, despite passing the transitional government leadership to Mohammad Al-Bashir. Here are the key advantages HTS has secured:
Legitimacy and International Recognition
By appointing Mohammad Al-Bashir as the head of the transitional government, HTS is attempting to gain legitimacy and international recognition. This move demonstrates their willingness to participate in a broader political process, potentially leading to:
Reconsideration of HTS’s terrorist designation by the United States
Improved relations with regional and international powers
Strategic Control
Despite transferring nominal power to Al-Bashir, HTS maintains significant influence:
Al-Bashir was previously the head of HTS’s Salvation Government in northwest Syria
HTS leader Abu Mohammed al-Jolani remains a key figure in the new political landscape
Territorial Expansion
The revolution has allowed HTS to expand its control beyond Idlib:
HTS now has a presence in major cities like Aleppo and Damascus
This expansion gives them access to more resources and population centers
Ideological Influence
By participating in the transitional process, HTS can shape Syria’s future governance:
They can push for implementation of their preferred policies and interpretations of Islamic law
The group can influence the drafting of a new constitution and future elections
Diplomatic Leverage
HTS’s military success gives them significant bargaining power:
They can negotiate with international actors from a position of strength
The group may be able to secure concessions regarding sanctions relief and reconstruction aid
Military Integration
The transitional period allows HTS to potentially integrate its fighters into a reformed national military:
This could legitimize their armed wing and secure positions of power for their members
Conclusion
By appointing Al-Bashir and supporting a transitional government, HTS is attempting to transform from a rebel group to a legitimate political actor while maintaining its influence over Syria’s future. This strategy allows them to consolidate their gains while potentially avoiding international isolation.