Foreign Affairs Forum

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What is political instability in Nigeria today

Introduction

Political instability in Nigeria today is characterized by several interconnected challenges that continue to impact the country’s governance, security, and socio-economic development:

Security Challenges

Ongoing insurgency by terrorist groups in the northeast, particularly the resurgence of attacks by the Islamic State West Africa Province (ISWAP)

Widespread banditry and kidnappings, especially in the northwest region

Farmer-herder conflicts in the Middle Belt and North-Central regions

Separatist agitations in the southeast, including activities of the Indigenous People of Biafra (IPOB)

Economic Instability

High inflation rates and increasing poverty, exacerbated by the removal of fuel subsidies

Limited job creation and entrepreneurial prospects, leading to high unemployment rates

Widening economic inequality and spatial disparities between regions

Governance Issues

Weak state capacity and limited service delivery in most areas of Nigeria

Persistent corruption and mismanagement of resources

Electoral violence and irregularities, as seen in the 2023 general elections

Social Tensions

Inter communal conflicts, often driven by competition over resources and exacerbated by ethnic and religious tensions

Growing frustration among citizens, leading to protests and civil unrest

Impact on Development

Low human capital index, limiting the productivity of future workers

Infrastructure gaps, particularly in electricity access and domestic economic integration

Challenges in addressing climate-related issues, such as extreme weather events

Conclusion

Despite these challenges, recent reforms by the new administration offer potential for improvement. However, the situation remains volatile, with Archbishop Lucius Ugorji describing the country as sitting on a “ticking time bomb” due to widespread poverty, hardship, and corruption. Addressing these issues is crucial for Nigeria to achieve stability and unlock its potential as a regional power.