Introduction

If Putin does not agree to Trump’s proposed deal, Trump may employ several strategies to pressure Russia:

Economic Measures

Oil Market Manipulation:

Work with Saudi Arabia to flood global oil markets, undercutting Russia’s export income

This approach, suggested by potential national security advisor Mike Waltz, aims to paralyze Russia’s economy

Enhanced Sanctions:

Impose significantly harder sanctions on Russia to increase economic pressure

Military Support for Ukraine

Increased Aid:

Step up military assistance to Ukraine

Lift restrictions on the use of Western weapons to hit Russian target

Advanced Weaponry:

Provide Ukraine with more sophisticated military equipment to alter the balance of power on the battlefield

Diplomatic Pressure

Leveraging China Policy:

Link U.S. commitment to NATO with Europe’s cooperation on China policy

Use this as a bargaining chip in negotiations with Russia

Strategic Positioning

Demonstrating Strength:

Take actions to avoid appearing weak, which Trump is known to be averse to

Potentially increase U.S. military presence or activities in Eastern Europe

Conclusion

By implementing these measures, Trump would aim to create conditions more favorable for a deal, pressuring Russia to return to negotiations from a weakened position. However, this approach carries risks of escalating tensions and potentially prolonging the conflict.