Is Iran planning to attack Israel Nov 25th 2025

Introduction

As of November 25, 2024, Iran is indeed contemplating a military response against Israel, particularly in light of recent Israeli airstrikes targeting Iranian military installations. Iranian officials, including senior commanders from the Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC), have indicated that they are preparing for a third “True Promise Operation,” which would involve direct attacks on Israel. This follows previous operations conducted in April and October of 2024, which included significant drone and missile strikes against Israeli targets.

Key Developments:

Direct Threats from IRGC:

Recent statements from IRGC commanders suggest that Iran may conduct a direct attack on Israel as retaliation for the Israeli strikes that occurred on October 25, which targeted facilities believed to be involved in missile production. The IRGC has warned that a response is imminent and could take place from Iranian territory.

Potential Scale of Attack:

Analysts indicate that while Iran may plan to retaliate, it might opt for a smaller-scale attack to conserve its diminishing long-range missile stockpile. This is due to the damage inflicted on its missile production capabilities by Israeli strikes, which has limited Iran’s ability to launch a large-scale offensive.

Involvement of Proxies:

There are indications that Iran could coordinate attacks with Iranian-backed militias in Iraq and possibly use these groups to launch strikes against Israel. This strategy would allow Iran to engage in hostilities while preserving its own missile resources.

Ground Invasion Considerations:

Some Iranian media outlets have suggested the possibility of a ground invasion into Israel from Syria, mobilizing pro-Iranian militias already present in the region. However, this idea remains speculative and would depend on various strategic factors.

Conclusion

The situation remains tense, with both sides engaging in military posturing and retaliatory actions. While Iran is planning potential attacks against Israel, the exact timing and scale of such actions are still uncertain. The dynamics are further complicated by broader geopolitical considerations, including the upcoming U.S. elections and the potential for changes in international support for both nations.